Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2012 - 2013 - 2014



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Maddie Woods 11 Penn 18:20 #6  
2  Brooke Moore 11 Elkhart Memorial 18:47 #22  
3  Danielle Frank 10 Penn 18:57 #27  
4  Emma Jankowski 9 Penn 19:26 #60  
5  Kayla Casaletto 11 Elkhart Christian Academ 19:32 #71  
6  Lauren Pottschmidt 12 Penn 19:42 #93  
7  McKenzie Love 9 Northridge 19:48 #108  
8  Olivia Golden 12 Northridge 19:49 #114  
9  Morgan Blyly 10 Northridge 19:53 #130  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Penn Riley 188 #7  
2  Northridge Elkhart Central 353 #22  
3  Wawasee Elkhart Central 568 #45  
4  Concord Elkhart Central 636 #61  
5  Mishawaka Riley 639 #63  
6  Adams Riley 671 #71  
7  Elkhart Memorial Elkhart Central 704 #73  

Other unranked teams:
Fairfield Elkhart Central 743
Goshen Elkhart Central 783
St. Joseph's Riley 788
Riley Riley 821



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Penn 100.0% 1.0 25 15 53 98.9 1.1
Northridge 100.0% 2.0 51 26 101 1.1 98.8 0.1
Wawasee 100.0% 3.4 116 58 201 0.1 71.6 18.6 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Concord 98.7% 4.7 140 72 216 15.9 34.7 24.5 13.5 6.3 2.4 1.2 0.2
Mishawaka 100.0% 5.2 147 87 229 7.8 26.0 30.7 20.1 9.3 4.5 1.5 0.2
Adams 100.0% 5.9 158 90 233 3.6 14.8 22.0 27.3 16.5 10.2 4.6 1.1
Fairfield 71.7% 7.2 175 97 243 0.5 2.9 6.4 11.9 17.2 16.7 12.6 3.5
Elkhart Memorial 90.2% 7.5 178 108 242 0.2 1.3 4.4 11.9 25.0 29.1 15.0 3.4
Goshen 39.5% 7.6 181 108 248 0.1 0.8 2.4 5.5 8.3 10.4 8.9 3.2
St. Joseph's 100.0% 8.4 194 110 276 0.2 0.9 2.8 6.3 13.2 18.9 33.8 23.9
Riley 100.0% 9.4 213 130 276 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.7 7.7 22.5 64.5


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Maddie Woods Penn 18:20 100.0% 1.0 89.0 10.8 0.2
Brooke Moore Elkhart Memorial 18:47 100.0% 1.7 10.7 56.9 27.9 3.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Danielle Frank Penn 18:57 100.0% 2.3 0.3 31.5 61.0 6.1 1.0 0.1 0.1
Emma Jankowski Penn 19:26 100.0% 4.0 0.4 4.2 44.2 27.8 10.9 5.6 4.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kayla Casaletto Elkhart Christian Academy 19:32 100.0% 4.7 0.0 0.4 5.3 27.7 23.7 18.6 9.7 7.0 5.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Lauren Pottschmidt Penn 19:42 100.0% 5.9 0.0 0.3 6.0 20.9 25.5 13.7 12.0 13.2 4.7 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
McKenzie Love Northridge 19:48 100.0% 6.9 0.1 0.5 5.1 9.9 15.3 21.7 19.4 14.3 6.1 3.5 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Olivia Golden Northridge 19:49 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.5 4.3 9.4 15.0 20.7 18.8 14.9 7.5 4.0 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan Blyly Northridge 19:53 100.0% 7.7 0.0 0.2 2.9 5.6 10.8 16.8 20.0 19.3 10.4 6.1 3.1 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0